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FO

Forever 21

retail
PE-OWNED

Fast fashion retailer targeting young consumers.

PE-OWNED

Acquired by Authentic Brands Group2020-02-01

View PE Firm Profile

What Made It Great

Trendy fashion at affordable prices for the young and young at heart.

What PE Will Likely Do

Aggressive store closures, with the majority of Forever 21's retail locations shuttering within the first 24 months of the acquisition

HIGH LIKELIHOODBased on: Authentic Brands Group's track record of aggressive cost-cutting and brand monetization in its acquisitions

Declining quality and selection of trendy, fashionable clothing as inventory levels are reduced and less emphasis is placed on new merchandise

HIGH LIKELIHOODBased on: The industry playbook for private equity firms in the retail sector, which frequently involves debt loading, dividend recapitalization, store closures, inventory reduction, and deferred maintenance

Deterioration of in-store experience, with less investment in store upkeep, fixtures, and amenities

HIGH LIKELIHOODBased on: The similarities between the Forever 21 acquisition and the bankruptcy of Barneys New York, another retailer targeted by a private equity firm

Potential introduction of lower-quality, less expensive materials and fabrics in Forever 21's clothing lines to boost profit margins

HIGH LIKELIHOODBased on: The similarities between the Forever 21 acquisition and the bankruptcy of Barneys New York, another retailer targeted by a private equity firm

Expected Timeline

0-6 monthsCompleted

0 to 6 months months

Announcements about 'transforming' Forever 21 to 'optimize operations', signaling upcoming store closures and cost-cutting measures

6-12 monthsYOU ARE HERE

6 to 12 months months

First round of store closures, with 20-30% of locations shuttered, and staff reductions across the company

12-24 months

12 to 24 months months

Noticeable decline in store aesthetics, merchandise selection, and quality of clothing as inventory is reduced and less emphasis is placed on new fashion trends

24-48 months

24 to 48 months months

Bankruptcy rumors begin to surface as aggressive cost-cutting measures continue, including further store closures, inventory reductions, and deferred maintenance

48-60 months

48 to 60 months months

Potential bankruptcy, restructuring, or fire sale of the remaining Forever 21 assets

Similar Cases

Other companies that followed a similar path after PE acquisition

What You Can Do

Actions

  • Consumers should be prepared for a decline in the quality, selection, and in-store experience of Forever 21 over the next few years

  • Shoppers may want to consider alternative fast fashion retailers that prioritize quality and fashion-forward trends if Forever 21's offerings become less appealing

  • Consumers should be wary of any announcements about 'transforming' or 'optimizing' Forever 21, as these are often code words for aggressive cost-cutting that can harm the customer experience

Alternatives

CostcoSAFE

Employee-owned warehouse retailer

TargetSAFE

Publicly traded retailer with strong values

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